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Norrby IF vs Orebro SK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw30%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Norrby IFOrebro SK
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 30% / 26%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Orebro SK win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.38 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Norrby IF win44%2.27
Draw30%3.33
Orebro SK win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norrby IF1.46

Home share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Orebro SK0.92

Away share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Norrby IF

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Orebro SK

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.46
Expected goals
0.92
Norrby IFOrebro SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norrby IF signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orebro SK signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Norrby IF vs Orebro SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norrby IF win 44%,Draw 30%,Orebro SK win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under