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SWE Sweden Superettan · Match ·

Norrby IF vs Orebro SK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Norrby IFOrebro SK
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 30% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Orebro SK win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.38 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Norrby IF win44%2.27
Nul30%3.33
Orebro SK win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norrby IF1.46

Domicile share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

Orebro SK0.92

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Norrby IF

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Orebro SK

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.46
Expected goals
0.92
Norrby IFOrebro SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norrby IF signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orebro SK signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Norrby IF vs Orebro SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norrby IF victoire 44%,Nul 30%,Orebro SK victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de