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SWE スウェーデン スーペルエッタン · 試合 ·

ノービーIF vs エーレブルーSK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ノービーIFエーレブルーSK
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 29% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes エーレブルーSK win (26.6%)ダブルチャンス1X73.4%1.36
オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%Goals 2.5アンダー57%1.75
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.38 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ノービーIF win44%2.27
引き分け29%3.45
エーレブルーSK win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ノービーIF1.46

ホーム share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%

エーレブルーSK0.92

アウェイ share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ノービーIF

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エーレブルーSK

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.46
Expected goals
0.92
ノービーIFエーレブルーSK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ノービーIF signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エーレブルーSK signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ノービーIF vs エーレブルーSK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ノービーIF 勝ち 44%,引き分け 29%,エーレブルーSK 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · オーバー 2.5 43% · Current selection アンダー