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SWE Zweden - Superettan · Wedstrijd ·

Norrby IF vs Örebro SK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst27%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Norrby IFÖrebro SK
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 29% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Örebro SK win (26.6%)Dubbele Kans1X73.4%1.36
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.38 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Norrby IF win44%2.27
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Örebro SK win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norrby IF1.46

Thuis share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

Örebro SK0.92

Uit share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Norrby IF

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Örebro SK

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.46
Expected goals
0.92
Norrby IFÖrebro SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norrby IF signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Örebro SK signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Norrby IF vs Örebro SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norrby IF gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 29%,Örebro SK gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder