Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 29% / 27%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win (26.8%)Double chance1X73.2%1.37
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Arda Kardzhali win44%2.27
Draw29%3.45
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.9%
Total expected goals2.56Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 39.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchArda Kardzhali
WLWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
27%10
Points from supplied form
21.56
Expected goals
1.00Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Arda Kardzhali win 44%，Draw 29%，Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。