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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

アルダ・クルジャリ vs ロコモティフ1929ソフィア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.54 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1アルダ・クルジャリロコモティフ1929ソフィア
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 29% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ロコモティフ1929ソフィア win (26.7%)ダブルチャンス1X73.3%1.36
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点はい50%2.00
2.54 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アルダ・クルジャリ win44%2.27
引き分け29%3.45
ロコモティフ1929ソフィア win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルダ・クルジャリ1.55

ホーム share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア0.99

アウェイ share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルダ・クルジャリ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.55
Expected goals
0.99
アルダ・クルジャリロコモティフ1929ソフィア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルダ・クルジャリ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ロコモティフ1929ソフィア signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

アルダ・クルジャリ vs ロコモティフ1929ソフィア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルダ・クルジャリ 勝ち 44%,引き分け 29%,ロコモティフ1929ソフィア 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー