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ARM アルメニア プレミアリーグ · 試合 ·

ノア vs アラシュケルトFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利49%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利24%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利49% selection probability
Projected score1–1ノアアラシュケルトFC
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー67% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
49% / 27% / 24%試合結果ホーム勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アラシュケルトFC win (24.1%)ダブルチャンス1X75.9%1.32
オーバー 33% · アンダー 67%Goals 2.5アンダー67%1.49
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.03 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapノア winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ノア win49%2.041.8049.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
アラシュケルトFC win24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ノア1.11

ホーム share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 33% · アンダー 67%

アラシュケルトFC0.92

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ノア

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アラシュケルトFC

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
勝ち probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.11
Expected goals
0.92
ノアアラシュケルトFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ノア signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アラシュケルトFC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ノア vs アラシュケルトFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ノア 勝ち 49%,引き分け 27%,アラシュケルトFC 勝ち 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · オーバー 2.5 33% · Current selection アンダー