Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 26% / 30%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
PSG win44%2.27
Draw26%3.85
Aston Villa win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.5%
Total expected goals2.63Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 44.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.50pts / matchPSG
LD
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAston Villa
LWWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway won 2/4 recent away matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
30%1
Points from supplied form
61.46
Expected goals
1.17PSGAston Villa
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
PSG vs Aston Villa FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
PSG win 44%，Draw 26%，Aston Villa win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。