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PSG vs Aston Villa

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger30%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1PSGAston Villa
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nej corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 26% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbelchans1274.1%1.35
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
0.0 expected match cornersHörnorNej corner projection
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
PSG win44%2.27
Oavgjort26%3.85
Aston Villa win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSG1.46

Hemma share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Aston Villa1.17

Borta share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

PSG

0.50pts / match
Spelade2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Poäng1

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Aston Villa

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta won 2/4 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.46
Expected goals
1.17
PSGAston Villa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSG signalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aston Villa signalBorta won 2/4 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PSG vs Aston Villa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSG vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 26%,Aston Villa vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under