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PSG vs Aston Villa

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg30%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1PSGAston Villa
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nein corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 26% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppelte Chance1274.1%1.35
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
0.0 expected match cornersEckenNein corner projection
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
PSG win44%2.27
Unentschieden26%3.85
Aston Villa win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSG1.46

Heim share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

Aston Villa1.17

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

PSG

0.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punkte1

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Aston Villa

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts won 2/4 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.46
Expected goals
1.17
PSGAston Villa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSG signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aston Villa signalAuswärts won 2/4 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PSG vs Aston Villa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSG Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 26%,Aston Villa Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter