Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 29% / 27%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fleetwood Town win (27%)Double chance1X73%1.37
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Chesterfield win44%2.27
Draw29%3.45
Fleetwood Town win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.8%
Total expected goals2.55Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 39.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchChesterfield
LDLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFleetwood Town
WDDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
27%7
Points from supplied form
91.55
Expected goals
1.00ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chesterfield win 44%，Draw 29%，Fleetwood Town win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。