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チェスターフィールド vs フリートウッド・タウン

Archived pre-match prediction

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.55 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1チェスターフィールドフリートウッド・タウン
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 29% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フリートウッド・タウン win (27%)ダブルチャンス1X73%1.37
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点はい50%2.00
2.55 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
チェスターフィールド win44%2.27
引き分け29%3.45
フリートウッド・タウン win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

チェスターフィールド1.55

ホーム share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

フリートウッド・タウン1.00

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

チェスターフィールド

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フリートウッド・タウン

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.55
Expected goals
1.00
チェスターフィールドフリートウッド・タウン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01チェスターフィールド signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フリートウッド・タウン signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

チェスターフィールド vs フリートウッド・タウン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

チェスターフィールド 勝ち 44%,引き分け 29%,フリートウッド・タウン 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー