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ENG Inglaterra - League Two · Partida ·

Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town

Archived pre-match prediction

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.55 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante27%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 29% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fleetwood Town win (27%)Dupla Chance1X73%1.37
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 50% · Não 50%Ambas as equipes marcamSim50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Chesterfield win44%2.27
Empate29%3.45
Fleetwood Town win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chesterfield1.55

Mandante share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Fleetwood Town1.00

Visitante share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 50% · Não 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Chesterfield

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fleetwood Town

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.55
Expected goals
1.00
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chesterfield signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fleetwood Town signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chesterfield ganhou 44%,Empate 29%,Fleetwood Town ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo