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ENG England - League 2 · Match ·

Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.55 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 29% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fleetwood Town win (27%)Dubbelchans1X73%1.37
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målJa50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Chesterfield win44%2.27
Oavgjort29%3.45
Fleetwood Town win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chesterfield1.55

Hemma share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Fleetwood Town1.00

Borta share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Chesterfield

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fleetwood Town

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.55
Expected goals
1.00
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chesterfield signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fleetwood Town signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chesterfield vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 29%,Fleetwood Town vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under