Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 29% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fleetwood Town win (27%)Dubbele Kans1X73%1.37
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Chesterfield win44%2.27
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Fleetwood Town win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.8%
Total expected goals2.55Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%
Uit share of expected goals 39.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchChesterfield
LDLWW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFleetwood Town
WDDDW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%7
Points from supplied form
91.55
Expected goals
1.00ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chesterfield gewonnen 44%，Gelijkspel 29%，Fleetwood Town gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.55 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder。