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アヤックスリザーブ vs ヘルモントスポーツ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1アヤックスリザーブヘルモントスポーツ
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 28% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)ダブルチャンス1271.6%1.40
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.78 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アヤックスリザーブ win39%2.56
引き分け28%3.57
ヘルモントスポーツ win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アヤックスリザーブ1.49

ホーム share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

ヘルモントスポーツ1.29

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アヤックスリザーブ

0.00pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn0Losses5ポイント0

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘルモントスポーツ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.49
Expected goals
1.29
アヤックスリザーブヘルモントスポーツ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アヤックスリザーブ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘルモントスポーツ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

アヤックスリザーブ vs ヘルモントスポーツ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アヤックスリザーブ 勝ち 39%,引き分け 28%,ヘルモントスポーツ 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー