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NLD Нидерланды - Эрстедивизи · Матч ·

Аякс - Резерв vs Хелмонд Спорт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Аякс - РезервХелмонд Спорт
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 28% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Двойной шанс1271.6%1.40
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Аякс - Резерв win39%2.56
Ничья28%3.57
Хелмонд Спорт win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аякс - Резерв1.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Хелмонд Спорт1.29

Гости share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аякс - Резерв

0.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Баллы0

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хелмонд Спорт

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.49
Expected goals
1.29
Аякс - РезервХелмонд Спорт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аякс - Резерв signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хелмонд Спорт signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Аякс - Резерв vs Хелмонд Спорт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аякс - Резерв выигрыш 39%,Ничья 28%,Хелмонд Спорт выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше