Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 28% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Doppelte Chance1271.6%1.40
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Ajax - Reserve win39%2.56
Unentschieden28%3.57
Helmond Sport win33%3.03
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 53.6%
Total expected goals2.78Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%
Auswärts share of expected goals 46.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchAjax - Reserve
LLLLL
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0
SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchHelmond Sport
DLDWL
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%0
Points from supplied form
51.49
Expected goals
1.29Ajax - ReserveHelmond Sport
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Ajax - Reserve vs Helmond Sport FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ajax - Reserve Gewinn 39%，Unentschieden 28%，Helmond Sport Gewinn 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.78 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über。