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NLD Niederlande - Eerste Divisie · Spiel ·

AZ - Reserve vs Maastricht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZ - ReserveMaastricht
Expected goals3.37Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 26% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppelte Chance1274.4%1.34
Über 65% · Unter 35%Goals 2.5Über65%1.54
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
AZ - Reserve win47%2.13
Unentschieden26%3.85
Maastricht win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ - Reserve2.04

Heim share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 65% · Unter 35%

Maastricht1.33

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AZ - Reserve

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Maastricht

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
AZ - ReserveMaastricht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ - Reserve signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maastricht signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AZ - Reserve vs Maastricht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ - Reserve Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 26%,Maastricht Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Über 2.5 65% · Current selection Über