Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 26% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dubbele Kans1274.4%1.34
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Jong AZ win47%2.13
Gelijkspel26%3.85
MVV win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.5%
Total expected goals3.37Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%
Uit share of expected goals 39.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchJong AZ
LWLWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchMVV
WWWDL
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%9
Points from supplied form
102.04
Expected goals
1.33Jong AZMVV
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Jong AZ vs MVV FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Jong AZ gewonnen 47%，Gelijkspel 26%，MVV gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.37 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven。