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AZリザーブ vs MVVマーストリヒト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利47%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZリザーブMVVマーストリヒト
Expected goals3.37始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
47% / 26% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)ダブルチャンス1274.4%1.34
オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%Goals 2.5オーバー65%1.54
はい 64% · いいえ 36%両チーム得点はい64%1.56
3.37 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.7 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
AZリザーブ win47%2.13
引き分け26%3.85
MVVマーストリヒト win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZリザーブ2.04

ホーム share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%

MVVマーストリヒト1.33

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 64% · いいえ 36%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

AZリザーブ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

MVVマーストリヒト

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
AZリザーブMVVマーストリヒト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZリザーブ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MVVマーストリヒト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AZリザーブ vs MVVマーストリヒト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZリザーブ 勝ち 47%,引き分け 26%,MVVマーストリヒト 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · オーバー 2.5 65% · Current selection オーバー