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NLD Нидерландия - Ерсте Дивизия · Мач ·

Аякс резерви vs Хелмонд Спорт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина39%
Равен28%
Победа за госта33%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Аякс резервиХелмонд Спорт
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
39% / 28% / 33%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Двоен шанс1271.6%1.40
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Аякс резерви win39%2.56
Равен28%3.57
Хелмонд Спорт win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аякс резерви1.49

Домакин share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

Хелмонд Спорт1.29

Гост share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Аякс резерви

0.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Точки0

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Хелмонд Спорт

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
33%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.49
Expected goals
1.29
Аякс резервиХелмонд Спорт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аякс резерви signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хелмонд Спорт signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Аякс резерви vs Хелмонд Спорт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аякс резерви печеливш 39%,Равен 28%,Хелмонд Спорт печеливш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над