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MNE モンテネグロ プルヴァリーガ · 試合 ·

FKモルナルバー vs アルセナル・ティヴァト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利60%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利15%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利60% selection probability
Projected score2–1FKモルナルバーアルセナル・ティヴァト
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
60% / 25% / 15%試合結果ホーム勝利60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルセナル・ティヴァト win (15%)ダブルチャンス1X85%1.18
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
2.30 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
7.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFKモルナルバー winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FKモルナルバー win60%1.671.5358.7%+1.3 pp
引き分け25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
アルセナル・ティヴァト win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FKモルナルバー1.80

ホーム share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

アルセナル・ティヴァト0.50

アウェイ share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FKモルナルバー

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルセナル・ティヴァト

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
勝ち probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.50
FKモルナルバーアルセナル・ティヴァト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FKモルナルバー signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルセナル・ティヴァト signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FKモルナルバー vs アルセナル・ティヴァト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FKモルナルバー 勝ち 60%,引き分け 25%,アルセナル・ティヴァト 勝ち 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー