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MNE Montenegro Prva Liga · Match ·

FK Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur15%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Mornar BarArsenal Tivat
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon67% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 25% / 15%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Arsenal Tivat win (15%)Double chance1X85%1.18
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
2.30 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFK Mornar Bar winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Mornar Bar win60%1.671.5358.7%+1.3 pp
Nul25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Arsenal Tivat win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Mornar Bar1.80

Domicile share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

Arsenal Tivat0.50

Extérieur share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Mornar Bar

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Arsenal Tivat

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.50
FK Mornar BarArsenal Tivat
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Mornar Bar signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arsenal Tivat signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Mornar Bar victoire 60%,Nul 25%,Arsenal Tivat victoire 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de