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MNE Montenegro Prva Liga · Αγώνας ·

FK Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου60%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου15%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου60% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Mornar BarArsenal Tivat
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
60% / 25% / 15%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Arsenal Tivat win (15%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X85%1.18
Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%Goals 2.5Κάτω60%1.67
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
2.30 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
7.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFK Mornar Bar winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Mornar Bar win60%1.671.5358.7%+1.3 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Arsenal Tivat win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Mornar Bar1.80

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%

Arsenal Tivat0.50

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

FK Mornar Bar

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Arsenal Tivat

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.50
FK Mornar BarArsenal Tivat
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Mornar Bar signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arsenal Tivat signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Mornar Bar νίκη 60%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Arsenal Tivat νίκη 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Άνω 2.5 40% · Current selection Κάτω