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INT ペルー リーガ1 · 試合 ·

FBCメルガール vs アリアンサリマ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利46%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利25%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利46% selection probability
Projected score1–1FBCメルガールアリアンサリマ
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
46% / 29% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アリアンサリマ win (25.1%)ダブルチャンス1X74.9%1.34
オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%Goals 2.5アンダー52%1.92
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.58 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
7.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapFBCメルガール winDifference-0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FBCメルガール win46%2.172.0046.3%-0.3 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2029%0.0 pp
アリアンサリマ win25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBCメルガール1.42

ホーム share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%

アリアンサリマ1.16

アウェイ share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FBCメルガール

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アリアンサリマ

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.42
Expected goals
1.16
FBCメルガールアリアンサリマ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBCメルガール signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アリアンサリマ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FBCメルガール vs アリアンサリマ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBCメルガール 勝ち 46%,引き分け 29%,アリアンサリマ 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · オーバー 2.5 48% · Current selection アンダー