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INT Peru Liga 1 · Αγώνας ·

FBC Melgar vs Αλιάνσα Λίμα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου25%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score1–1FBC MelgarΑλιάνσα Λίμα
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 29% / 25%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αλιάνσα Λίμα win (25.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.9%1.34
Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%Goals 2.5Κάτω52%1.92
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
7.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapFBC Melgar winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FBC Melgar win46%2.172.0046.3%-0.3 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2029%0.0 pp
Αλιάνσα Λίμα win25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar1.42

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%

Αλιάνσα Λίμα1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλιάνσα Λίμα

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.42
Expected goals
1.16
FBC MelgarΑλιάνσα Λίμα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλιάνσα Λίμα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs Αλιάνσα Λίμα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Αλιάνσα Λίμα νίκη 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Άνω 2.5 48% · Current selection Κάτω