Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 29% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Lima win (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1X74.9%1.34
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
7.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapFBC Melgar winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FBC Melgar win46%2.172.0046.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2029%0.0 pp
Alianza Lima win25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 55%
Total expected goals2.58Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%
Uit share of expected goals 45%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFBC Melgar
WLDWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchAlianza Lima
WDWDW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%10
Points from supplied form
111.42
Expected goals
1.16FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FBC Melgar gewonnen 46%，Gelijkspel 29%，Alianza Lima gewonnen 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.58 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder。