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INT Peru Liga 1 · Матч ·

FBC Melgar vs Алианза Лима

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score1–1FBC MelgarАлианза Лима
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 29% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Алианза Лима win (25.1%)Двойной шанс1X74.9%1.34
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
7.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapFBC Melgar winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FBC Melgar win46%2.172.0046.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2029%0.0 pp
Алианза Лима win25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FBC Melgar1.42

Хозяева share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

Алианза Лима1.16

Гости share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Алианза Лима

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.42
Expected goals
1.16
FBC MelgarАлианза Лима
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FBC Melgar signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алианза Лима signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FBC Melgar vs Алианза Лима FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FBC Melgar выигрыш 46%,Ничья 29%,Алианза Лима выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше