Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 29% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Lima win (25.2%)Doppia Chance1X74.8%1.34
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
7.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapFBC Melgar winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FBC Melgar win46%2.172.0046.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2029%0.0 pp
Alianza Lima win25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 54.6%
Total expected goals2.60Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%
Trasferta share of expected goals 45.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFBC Melgar
WLDWW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchAlianza Lima
WDWDW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%10
Points from supplied form
111.42
Expected goals
1.18FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FBC Melgar vinta 46%，Pareggio 29%，Alianza Lima vinta 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.60 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto。