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CHN 中国 スーパーリーグ · Final ·

北京中赫国安 vs 深セン新鹏城

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score4–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利65%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 65% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利65% selection probability
Projected score2–1北京中赫国安深セン新鹏城
Expected goals3.59始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
65% / 20% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 深セン新鹏城 win (15.7%)ダブルチャンス1X84.3%1.19
オーバー 70% · アンダー 30%Goals 2.5オーバー70%1.43
はい 64% · いいえ 36%両チーム得点はい64%1.56
3.59 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.6 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gap北京中赫国安 winDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
北京中赫国安 win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
引き分け20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
深セン新鹏城 win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

北京中赫国安2.40

ホーム share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 70% · アンダー 30%

深セン新鹏城1.19

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 64% · いいえ 36%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

北京中赫国安

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

深セン新鹏城

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
北京中赫国安深セン新鹏城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01北京中赫国安 signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02深セン新鹏城 signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

北京中赫国安 vs 深セン新鹏城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

北京中赫国安 勝ち 65%,引き分け 20%,深セン新鹏城 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · オーバー 2.5 70% · Current selection オーバー