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CHN China Super League · Матч ·

Beijing Guoan vs Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев65%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей16%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Beijing GuoanШэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн
Expected goals3.59Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
65% / 20% / 16%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн win (15.7%)Двойной шанс1X84.3%1.19
Больше 70% · Меньше 30%Goals 2.5Больше70%1.43
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.59 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapBeijing Guoan winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Guoan win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Guoan2.40

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 70% · Меньше 30%

Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн1.19

Гости share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Beijing Guoan

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
Beijing GuoanШэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Guoan signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Beijing Guoan vs Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Guoan выигрыш 65%,Ничья 20%,Шэньчжэнь Синьпэнчэн выигрыш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · ТБ 2.5 70% · Current selection Больше