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CHN China Super League · Mecz ·

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy65%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości16%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Expected goals3.59Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
65% / 20% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win (15.7%)Podwójna szansa1X84.3%1.19
Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%Goals 2.5Powyżej70%1.43
Tak 64% · Nie 36%Obie drużyny strzeląTak64%1.56
3.59 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.6 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapBeijing Guoan winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Guoan win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
Remis20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Guoan2.40

Gospodarze share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.19

Goście share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Beijing Guoan

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Guoan signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shenzhen Xinpengcheng signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Guoan wygrana 65%,Remis 20%,Shenzhen Xinpengcheng wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Powyżej 2.5 70% · Current selection Powyżej