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JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

V・ファーレン長崎 vs 京都サンガFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.40 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利31%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利39%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1V・ファーレン長崎京都サンガFC
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
31% / 29% / 39%試合結果アウェイ勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)ダブルチャンス1270.7%1.41
オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%Goals 2.5アンダー57%1.75
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.40 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapV・ファーレン長崎 winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
V・ファーレン長崎 win31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
京都サンガFC win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

V・ファーレン長崎1.10

ホーム share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%

京都サンガFC1.30

アウェイ share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

V・ファーレン長崎

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

京都サンガFC

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
勝ち probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.10
Expected goals
1.30
V・ファーレン長崎京都サンガFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01V・ファーレン長崎 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02京都サンガFC signalアウェイ failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

V・ファーレン長崎 vs 京都サンガFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

V・ファーレン長崎 勝ち 31%,引き分け 29%,京都サンガFC 勝ち 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · オーバー 2.5 43% · Current selection アンダー