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JPN Japán - J-League · Round 1 ·

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.40 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem31%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem39%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem39% selection probability
Projected score1–1V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt57% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
31% / 29% / 39%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dupla esély1270.7%1.41
Felett 43% · Alatt 57%Goals 2.5Alatt57%1.75
Igen 49% · Nem 51%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51%1.96
2.40 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.2 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapV-Varen Nagasaki winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
V-Varen Nagasaki win31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Kyoto Sanga FC win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

V-Varen Nagasaki1.10

Hazai share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 43% · Alatt 57%

Kyoto Sanga FC1.30

Vendég share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 49% · Nem 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

V-Varen Nagasaki

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Kyoto Sanga FC

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalVendég failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Nyert probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.10
Expected goals
1.30
V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01V-Varen Nagasaki signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kyoto Sanga FC signalVendég failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

V-Varen Nagasaki nyer 31%,Döntetlen 29%,Kyoto Sanga FC nyer 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · 2.5 felett 43% · Current selection Alatt