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JPN Japonia - J-League · Round 1 ·

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.40 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy31%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości39%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości39% selection probability
Projected score1–1V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
31% / 29% / 39%Wynik meczuWygrana gości39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Podwójna szansa1270.7%1.41
Powyżej 43% · Poniżej 57%Goals 2.5Poniżej57%1.75
Tak 49% · Nie 51%Obie drużyny strzeląNie51%1.96
2.40 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapV-Varen Nagasaki winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
V-Varen Nagasaki win31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
Remis29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Kyoto Sanga FC win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

V-Varen Nagasaki1.10

Gospodarze share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 43% · Poniżej 57%

Kyoto Sanga FC1.30

Goście share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

V-Varen Nagasaki

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Kyoto Sanga FC

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.10
Expected goals
1.30
V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01V-Varen Nagasaki signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kyoto Sanga FC signalGoście failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

V-Varen Nagasaki wygrana 31%,Remis 29%,Kyoto Sanga FC wygrana 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Powyżej 2.5 43% · Current selection Poniżej