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柏レイソル vs 水戸ホーリーホック

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利55%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利55% selection probability
Projected score2–1柏レイソル水戸ホーリーホック
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
55% / 25% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 水戸ホーリーホック win (19.8%)ダブルチャンス1X80.2%1.25
オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%Goals 2.5オーバー57%1.75
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.97 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
柏レイソル win55%1.82
引き分け25%4.00
水戸ホーリーホック win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

柏レイソル2.09

ホーム share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%

水戸ホーリーホック0.88

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

柏レイソル

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

水戸ホーリーホック

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
1
2.09
Expected goals
0.88
柏レイソル水戸ホーリーホック
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01柏レイソル signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02水戸ホーリーホック signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

柏レイソル vs 水戸ホーリーホック FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

柏レイソル 勝ち 55%,引き分け 25%,水戸ホーリーホック 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · オーバー 2.5 57% · Current selection オーバー