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JPN Japan - J-League · Spiel ·

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg20%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 25% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mito Hollyhock win (19.8%)Doppelte Chance1X80.2%1.25
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.97 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Kashiwa Reysol win55%1.82
Unentschieden25%4.00
Mito Hollyhock win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kashiwa Reysol2.09

Heim share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

Mito Hollyhock0.88

Auswärts share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Kashiwa Reysol

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Mito Hollyhock

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
1
2.09
Expected goals
0.88
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kashiwa Reysol signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mito Hollyhock signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kashiwa Reysol Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 25%,Mito Hollyhock Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über