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JPN Japan - J-League · Wedstrijd ·

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst20%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 25% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mito Hollyhock win (19.8%)Dubbele Kans1X80.2%1.25
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.97 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Kashiwa Reysol win55%1.82
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Mito Hollyhock win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kashiwa Reysol2.09

Thuis share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Mito Hollyhock0.88

Uit share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Kashiwa Reysol

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Mito Hollyhock

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
1
2.09
Expected goals
0.88
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kashiwa Reysol signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mito Hollyhock signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kashiwa Reysol gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 25%,Mito Hollyhock gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven