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KAZ カザフスタン プレミアリーグ · Round 25 ·

FC Elimai Semey vs イルティシュ・パヴロダル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai Semeyイルティシュ・パヴロダル
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 25% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes イルティシュ・パヴロダル win (21.7%)ダブルチャンス1X78.3%1.28
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点いいえ50%2.00
2.88 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
引き分け25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
イルティシュ・パヴロダル win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.04

ホーム share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

イルティシュ・パヴロダル0.84

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

イルティシュ・パヴロダル

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai Semeyイルティシュ・パヴロダル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02イルティシュ・パヴロダル signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs イルティシュ・パヴロダル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey 勝ち 53%,引き分け 25%,イルティシュ・パヴロダル 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー