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KAZ Kazachstan - Premier League · Round 25 ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy53%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
53% / 25% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Podwójna szansa1X78.3%1.28
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląNie50%2.00
2.88 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.04

Gospodarze share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Goście share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkty4

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey wygrana 53%,Remis 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej