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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

ФК Елимай Семей vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина53%
Равен25%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина53% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК Елимай СемейIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
53% / 25% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Двоен шанс1X78.3%1.28
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатНе50%2.00
2.88 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapФК Елимай Семей winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Елимай Семей win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Равен25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Елимай Семей2.04

Домакин share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Гост share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Елимай Семей

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
0.84
ФК Елимай СемейIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Елимай Семей signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ФК Елимай Семей vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Елимай Семей печеливш 53%,Равен 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над