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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Мач ·

Атирау vs ФК Актобе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина29%
Равен29%
Победа за госта42%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта42% selection probability
Projected score1–1АтирауФК Актобе
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под68% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
29% / 29% / 42%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атирау win (28.9%)Двоен шансX271.1%1.41
Над 32% · Под 68%Goals 2.5Под68%1.47
Да 40% · Не 60%И двата отбора да отбележатНе60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapАтирау winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Атирау win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Равен29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
ФК Актобе win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Атирау1.07

Домакин share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 32% · Под 68%

ФК Актобе0.90

Гост share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Не 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Атирау

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Актобе

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.07
Expected goals
0.90
АтирауФК Актобе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Атирау signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Актобе signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Атирау vs ФК Актобе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Атирау печеливш 29%,Равен 29%,ФК Актобе печеливш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Над 2.5 32% · Current selection Под