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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile29%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur42%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur42% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
29% / 29% / 42%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Atyrau win (28.9%)Double chanceX271.1%1.41
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Atyrau winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atyrau win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
FK Aktobe win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atyrau1.07

Domicile share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

FK Aktobe0.90

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Atyrau

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FK Aktobe

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gagné probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.07
Expected goals
0.90
FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atyrau signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Aktobe signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atyrau victoire 29%,Nul 29%,FK Aktobe victoire 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de