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KAZ Kasahstani kõrgliiga · Round 25 ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit53%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit22%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle55% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
53% / 25% / 22%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Topeltvõimalus1X78.3%1.28
Üle 55% · Alla 45%Goals 2.5Üle55%1.82
Jah 50% · Ei 50%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50%2.00
2.88 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Viik25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.04

Kodu share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 55% · Alla 45%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Võõras share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 50% · Ei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punktid4

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Võit probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey võit 53%,Viik 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar võit 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Üle 2.5 55% · Current selection Üle