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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng53%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng22%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài55% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
53% / 25% / 22%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Irtysh Pavlodar win (21.7%)Cơ hội kép1X78.3%1.28
Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%Goals 2.5Tài55%1.82
Có 50% · Không 50%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông50%2.00
2.88 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Elimai Semey winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elimai Semey win53%1.891.7351.9%+1.1 pp
Hòa25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
Irtysh Pavlodar win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elimai Semey2.04

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%

Irtysh Pavlodar0.84

Khách share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · Không 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

FC Elimai Semey

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Irtysh Pavlodar

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Thắng probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
0.84
FC Elimai SemeyIrtysh Pavlodar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elimai Semey signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Irtysh Pavlodar signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Elimai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elimai Semey thắng 53%,Hòa 25%,Irtysh Pavlodar thắng 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Tài 2.5 55% · Current selection Tài