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SWE スウェーデン アルスヴェンスカン · 試合 ·

マルメFF vs デーゲルフォルシュ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利65%
引き分け22%
アウェイ勝利14%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利65% selection probability
Projected score2–1マルメFFデーゲルフォルシュ
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
65% / 22% / 14%試合結果ホーム勝利65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes デーゲルフォルシュ win (13.6%)ダブルチャンス1X86.4%1.16
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.85 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapデーゲルフォルシュ winDifference+0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
マルメFF win65%1.541.4465%0.0 pp
引き分け22%4.554.3321.6%+0.4 pp
デーゲルフォルシュ win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マルメFF1.95

ホーム share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

デーゲルフォルシュ0.90

アウェイ share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マルメFF

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

デーゲルフォルシュ

0.00pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn0Losses5ポイント0

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
勝ち probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.95
Expected goals
0.90
マルメFFデーゲルフォルシュ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マルメFF signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02デーゲルフォルシュ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

マルメFF vs デーゲルフォルシュ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マルメFF 勝ち 65%,引き分け 22%,デーゲルフォルシュ 勝ち 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー