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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Spiel ·

Malmö FF vs Degerfors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg65%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malmö FFDegerfors
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
65% / 22% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Degerfors win (13.6%)Doppelte Chance1X86.4%1.16
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.83 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDegerfors winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malmö FF win65%1.541.4465%0.0 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.3321.6%+0.4 pp
Degerfors win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmö FF1.95

Heim share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Degerfors0.88

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Malmö FF

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Degerfors

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.95
Expected goals
0.88
Malmö FFDegerfors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmö FF signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Degerfors signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Malmö FF vs Degerfors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmö FF Gewinn 65%,Unentschieden 22%,Degerfors Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über