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Malmö FF vs Degerfors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger65%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger14%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malmö FFDegerfors
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
65% / 22% / 14%MatchresultatHemmaseger65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Degerfors win (13.6%)Dubbelchans1X86.4%1.16
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.85 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDegerfors winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malmö FF win65%1.541.4465%0.0 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.3321.6%+0.4 pp
Degerfors win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmö FF1.95

Hemma share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

Degerfors0.90

Borta share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Malmö FF

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Degerfors

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.95
Expected goals
0.90
Malmö FFDegerfors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmö FF signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Degerfors signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Malmö FF vs Degerfors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmö FF vunnen 65%,Oavgjort 22%,Degerfors vunnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över