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Hammarby vs BK Häcken

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.43 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1HammarbyBK Häcken
Expected goals3.43Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 24% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BK Häcken win (20.7%)Dubbelchans1X79.3%1.26
Över 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Över67%1.49
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Hammarby win56%1.79
Oavgjort24%4.17
BK Häcken win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby2.36

Hemma share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals3.43Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 67% · Under 33%

BK Häcken1.07

Borta share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Hammarby

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

BK Häcken

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.36
Expected goals
1.07
HammarbyBK Häcken
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Häcken signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hammarby vs BK Häcken FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 24%,BK Häcken vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Över 2.5 67% · Current selection Över